Phillies use long ball vs. D'Backs to stay hot

Baseball Betting Lines

07/27/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ryan Howard finished 2-for-4 with a two- run homer, three RBI and two runs scored as Philadelphia rallied past Arizona, 9-5, in the opener of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park.

Cody Ransom and Jayson Werth also each hit two-run blasts for the Phillies, who set a season-high for consecutive wins with their sixth in a row and have also won nine straight at home.

David Herndon (1-2) gave up two runs and coughed up a lead during the sixth inning in relief of starter Cole Hamels but picked up his first major-league win.

Mark Reynolds homered and drove in a pair, while Adam LaRoche and Stephen Drew knocked in a run apiece for the Diamondbacks, who have dropped five in a row.

Jordan Norberto (0-1) took the loss after being charged with two runs and two hits while not recording an out.

Down 4-3, Arizona struck for two in the sixth off Herndon. A double, walk and Howard throwing error on a fielder's choice loaded the bases with nobody out before a LaRoche sacrifice fly tied the game. Miguel Montero followed with an RBI groundout before a Reynolds groundout ended the threat.

In the home sixth, the Phils responded when Raul Ibanez singled home Shane Victorino before Howard's two-run blast to left-center made it 7-5.

Danys Baez offered a scoreless top of the seventh. Carlos Ruiz singled, was sacrificed to second then scored on Ransom's long two-run shot for a four-run difference during the Phils' turn in the seventh.

Jose Contreras and Ryan Madson locked down the win by holding the D'Backs off the board in the eighth and ninth.

Arizona loaded the bases in the first on a single, walk and hit batter with two outs, and went up 1-0 when Reynolds drew a base on balls.

The Phils broke through in the third. Victorino singled, stole second, but was erased on a fielder's choice. Placido Polanco, who took first on the grounder, went to third on an Ibanez hit and scored on Howard's single. Werth walked to load the bases, and after a Greg Dobbs foul out, Ruiz walked to force in Ibanez.

Reynolds tied the game with a leadoff homer in the fourth, but Hamels left the sacks full by fanning Kelly Johnson swinging. Drew's RBI single put the D'Backs ahead 3-2 in the fifth, but they couldn't tack on more despite loading the bases again.

In the home half, Howard walked with one down and Werth put the Phils back on top with a homer to dead center.

Game Notes

Philadelphia's bats have jumped to life during the streak, scoring 36 times in six games...Werth's fifth-inning blast was his first in 30 games, dating back to June 23 against Cleveland...Phils shortstop Jimmy Rollins did not play due to a bruised left foot suffered on Monday when he fouled a pitch off the foot early in the game...Victorino left the game in the seventh inning with a left oblique strain and will be evaluated on Wednesday...Diamondbacks outfielder Justin Upton left the game in the sixth innings with right hip stiffness...Ibanez went 2-for-4 and scored twice.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

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