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07/09/2010 - Split, Croatia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Novak Djokovic and Marin Cilic notched opening singles wins Friday in the best-of-five Davis Cup quarterfinal between rival nations Serbia and host Croatia.
The world No. 2 Djokovic got Serbia going with a 7-6 (7-3), 6-4, 6-1 victory over Indian Wells Masters champion Ivan Ljubicic before the Australian Open semifinalist Cilic leveled the tie for Croatia with a 6-4, 7-5, 6-2 waxing of Viktor Troicki on the indoor hardcourt at Spaladium Arena.
Djokovic handled the former top-five star Ljubicic in just under 2 1/2 hours, despite being out-aced 14-0. Djokovic did, however, pile up five service breaks, compared to only one for the big Croat, who also misfired for a whopping 11 double faults.
Cilic prevailed over Troicki in 2 hours, 23 minutes by piling up six breaks, compared to only two for the Serbian loser.
Saturday's pivotal doubles encounter is supposed to pit a Croatian tandem of Ivan Dodig and Antonio Veic versus a Serbian duo of Janko Tipsarevic and Nenad Zimonjic, while Sunday's reverse singles currently call for the world No. 13 Cilic to battle the Wimbledon semifinalist and former Australian Open champion Djokovic and Ljubicic to tangle with Troicki.
The Croats are captained by Goran Prpic, while Bogdan Obradovic is guiding team Serbia.
Players from Croatia and Serbia used to play under the flag of Yugoslavia. This marks their first Davis Cup meeting since they became independent nations.
Serbia is in its first-ever quarterfinal, while Croatia is seeking its second title, with the first one coming in 2005.
The winner here will meet Chile or the 2009 runner-up Czech Republic in the semifinals in September.
<< Sharks sign D Hjalmarsson to offer sheet
San Jose, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The San Jose Sharks have signed restricted
free agent defenseman Niklas Hjalmarsson to an offer sheet.
Hjalmarsson skated in 77 games last season for the Stanley Cup champion
Blackhawks, who have
<< Toronto adds former Chivas USA striker Santos
Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Toronto FC signed forward Maicon Santos, who
was the released earlier this week by Chivas USA, the Major League Soccer club
announced on Friday.
"We are delighted to welcome Maicon on board," TFC manager, di
<< Revs hope to make statement vs. Galaxy
Foxborough, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New England Revolution have won just one
of their last 11 Major League Soccer fixtures.
The Los Angeles Galaxy have lost just one in 15 to start the 2010 season.
Obviously Saturday's game between the
<< Dulgheru, Szavay into Budapest semis
Budapest, Hungary (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Second seed Alexandra Dulgheru was
a hard-fought quarterfinal winner, while reigning champion Agnes Szavay of
Hungary was an easy victor Friday at the $220,000 Budapest Grand Prix.
The 21-year-old Dul
Spain must make the most of rare opportunity >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - For countries like Brazil, Italy and
Germany, success in the World Cup is passed down from generation to
generation, almost like a hereditary trait.
The ability to perform at the highes
Stoudemire deal becomes sign-and-trade >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New York Knicks announced Friday that the
deal for Amare Stoudemire is a sign-and-trade agreement with the Phoenix Suns.
Stoudemire agreed to join the Knicks earlier this week and a deal was
anno
Clarke pushes lead to three in Scotland >>
Glasgow, Scotland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Darren Clarke carded a four-under 67 in
steady rain Friday to extend his lead to three strokes after two rounds of the
Scottish Open.
Clarke, who led by one after the first round, completed 36 holes at
Tennessee football players involved in bar brawl >>
Knoxville, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The University of Tennessee football program
had six players reportedly involved in a fight at a Knoxville bar early Friday
morning.
Two of the six have been arrested thus far, according to the Knoxville
Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
Teams that should be in: Michigan State, Indiana
Work left to do: Illinois, Purdue, Michigan, Iowa
Behind the big two, the pecking order might be in a bit of flux. Has Michigan State passed Indiana after handling the Hoosiers in East Lansing? Where is Illinois in that mix? What looked like a four-big league last week could be morphing into five -- and even six is not unthinkable at this point if everything breaks right.
Should be in:
Michigan State [21-8 (8-6), RPI: 20, SOS: 15] The Spartans made it four-for-four on the homestand, a gigantic accomplishment that leaves them in extremely good shape. MSU is only 1-6 on the road and is at Michigan and at Wisconsin to close things out, meaning the date with the Wolverines on Tuesday looms very, very large. Beating Texas early will hold up well, as will the rout of Bradley and the win over BYU, but will 8-8 be enough? It very well could be, as the computer numbers are good, but why chance it?
Indiana [18-9 (8-6), RPI: 24, SOS: 32] Hmm ... good thing the last two are at Northwestern and home to Penn State, because IU might want to get both to feel completely safe after dropping its third in the last four, fading after halftime at Michigan State. Who knew the best nonconference win would be over Southern Illinois, which is a gift that keeps on giving for the Hoosiers. The win over Wisconsin also looks good on the mantel.
Work left to do:
Illinois [21-9 (9-6), RPI: 31, SOS: 25] A good performance at Penn State leaves the Illini in pretty good shape. Can they go to Iowa and take care of business to really look on their way? That's a huge game, as there is a possible cluster of teams that will end at 9-7. Illinois beat Bradley, but has lost to Xavier. A 9-7 mark and a semifinals trip in Chicago could be enough with the computer profile hanging in there, but it would be better not to mess around, clinching at least a tie for third.
Purdue [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 47, SOS: 28] Couldn't get it done at Iowa, but did win at Northwestern to put 9-7 squarely in sight. Where does that leave the Boilermakers, though? Even if they beat Minnesota and Northwestern at home, that won't help the computer numbers. Nonconference wins over Virginia, DePaul and Oklahoma are solid, but not spectacular. The Boilers very well might need an upset in the B10 quarters to have a legit claim.
Michigan [19-10 (7-7), RPI: 55, SOS: 53] Well, Michigan did what it needed to do, winning at Minnesota to take control of its fate. The Wolverines have Michigan State and an already-wrapped-up-the-league Ohio State at home to close, so the chances are there. Win both and we can talk. There is no marquee win yet in the profile, and the Wolverines were splattered in several games against name opponents. A mediocre computer profile fueled by a lack of road wins isn't helping, either.
Iowa [16-12 (8-6), RPI: 80, SOS: 64] For the sake of being complete, we'll add Iowa, this season's Stanford. It's plausible that the Hawkeyes could get to 10-6 (at Penn State, vs. Illinois left), but where does that leave them after a gruesome nonconference performance where the best win was over ... Toledo? Iowa State? Cornell?? If they get to 10-6, we can start to look at what they need to do in the B10 tourney, although my gut sense is that they would need to make the final and have knocked off Ohio State or Wisconsin on the way to have any real claim.
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